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公司名称:东莞市吉创自动化设备有限公司
地址：东莞市南城第一国际百安中心B座1601室
电话：0769-89973388 传真：0769-89973366
地址:广东东莞市莞城创业路83号
电话:0769-87072838 传真:0769-87072816
邮箱:38163@163.com 邮编:523000
网址:http://sd-plc.com
联系人:张先生 雷小姐
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| 电子元器件受益奥运经济大潮 |
| 双击自动滚屏 |
发布者：admin 发布时间：2008-4-23 10:59:36 阅读：1872次 【字体：大 中 小】 |
全球半导体行业正步入成熟期，2008年全球半导体市场将保持温和增长。我们继续维持对2008年电子元器件行业“谨慎推荐”的投资评级。
奥运和3G共助行业增长从行业需求热点来看，2008年奥运效应和3G建设将是推动中国电子行业成长的两大重要因素。奥运会的举行将有效带动国内平板电视、智能手机等消费电子产品销售，而3G建设投资的加快将增加对移动基站、网络设备的需求，两者都将对上游电子元器件行业需求产生积极影响。奥运盛会不仅给东道国餐饮旅游等行业带来了无限商机，4年一届的奥运盛会也会带动人们对奥运比赛相关的其他消费，如大尺寸液晶电视、智能手机、数码相机和摄像机等。实际上从历史的经验来看，奥运之年往往是全球半导体市场增速较快的一年，我们统计了1977-2006年30年间半导体销售增长情况，数据显示，除1996年外，其他6届奥运会年份全球半导体市场销售增速均超举办前3年的增长率。另外，3G将是2008年推动行业增长的另一大重要因素。
2008年有望增长7%-8%受半导体库存未明显回落和下游电子产品市场因经济下滑及消费者支出预期下降的影响，上游半导体需求将出现一定程度的放缓，进而降低全年半导体市场的表现。根据2007年四季度各研究机构的最新预测，2008年全球半导体市场增长率有望维持在7%-8%的水平。
挖掘成长性优质个股在行业温和增长、行业上市公司估值偏高的背景下，我们认为发掘并把握成长性较好的优质个股是2008年电子元器件行业投资的主要策略，我们主要从未来2-3年公司主营收入、营业利润以及净利润的增长情况来看个股的业绩成长性，从企业技术研发实力、客户结构与层次、行业竞争地位以及企业运营管理能力4个方面来挑选成长性较好的优质个股。我们重点推荐具备一定估值优势，未来成长性较好，且投资价值较高的优质个股，如生益科技、莱宝高科和长电科技。此外，目前估值较高但成长性好的个股也值得关注，建议投资者积极关注中环股份、横店东磁、法拉电子和顺络电子。
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